To the annoyance of some shareholders, Marvell Technology, Inc. (NASDAQ:MRVL) shares are down a considerable 26% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 22% share price drop.
Although its price has dipped substantially, given around half the companies in the United States' Semiconductor industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.8x, you may still consider Marvell Technology as a stock to avoid entirely with its 7.8x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
Check out our latest analysis for Marvell Technology
Recent times haven't been great for Marvell Technology as its revenue has been rising slower than most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to undergo a reversal of fortunes, which has elevated the P/S ratio. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Marvell Technology.There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Marvell Technology's to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 4.7% last year. The latest three year period has also seen a 29% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 27% per annum during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 24% per annum growth forecast for the broader industry.
In light of this, it's understandable that Marvell Technology's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
Even after such a strong price drop, Marvell Technology's P/S still exceeds the industry median significantly. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
As we suspected, our examination of Marvell Technology's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook is contributing to its high P/S. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/S as they are quite confident future revenues aren't under threat. Unless the analysts have really missed the mark, these strong revenue forecasts should keep the share price buoyant.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Marvell Technology you should know about.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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