Saratoga Investment Corp.'s (NYSE:SAR) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 9.4x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 16x and even P/E's above 30x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
Recent times have been advantageous for Saratoga Investment as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this strong earnings performance might be less impressive moving forward. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
View our latest analysis for Saratoga Investment
There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the market for P/E ratios like Saratoga Investment's to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 33% gain to the company's bottom line. Despite this strong recent growth, it's still struggling to catch up as its three-year EPS frustratingly shrank by 43% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 20% as estimated by the seven analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 14%, which is noticeably less attractive.
With this information, we find it odd that Saratoga Investment is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It looks like most investors are not convinced at all that the company can achieve future growth expectations.
While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
Our examination of Saratoga Investment's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook isn't contributing to its P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. When we see a strong earnings outlook with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/E ratio. It appears many are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.
Having said that, be aware Saratoga Investment is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those shouldn't be ignored.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Saratoga Investment. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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