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Subdued Growth No Barrier To Asia Grocery Distribution Limited's (HKG:8413) Price

Simply Wall St·03/31/2025 22:02:06
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There wouldn't be many who think Asia Grocery Distribution Limited's (HKG:8413) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.4x is worth a mention when the median P/S for the Consumer Retailing industry in Hong Kong is similar at about 0.6x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for Asia Grocery Distribution

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:8413 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 31st 2025

How Has Asia Grocery Distribution Performed Recently?

For example, consider that Asia Grocery Distribution's financial performance has been pretty ordinary lately as revenue growth is non-existent. It might be that many expect the uninspiring revenue performance to only match most other companies at best over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from rising. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Asia Grocery Distribution will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

How Is Asia Grocery Distribution's Revenue Growth Trending?

Asia Grocery Distribution's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that there was hardly any revenue growth to speak of for the company over the past year. Still, the latest three year period was better as it's delivered a decent 20% overall rise in revenue. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing revenue over that time.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 9.8% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this information, we find it interesting that Asia Grocery Distribution is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.

The Bottom Line On Asia Grocery Distribution's P/S

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our examination of Asia Grocery Distribution revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't resulting in a lower P/S as per our expectations, given they look worse than current industry outlook. When we see weak revenue with slower than industry growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, bringing the P/S back in line with expectations. Unless there is a significant improvement in the company's medium-term performance, it will be difficult to prevent the P/S ratio from declining to a more reasonable level.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Asia Grocery Distribution that you should be aware of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Asia Grocery Distribution, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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