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Some Confidence Is Lacking In Ling Yui Holdings Limited (HKG:784) As Shares Slide 27%

Simply Wall St·12/03/2024 22:17:55
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Ling Yui Holdings Limited (HKG:784) shares have retraced a considerable 27% in the last month, reversing a fair amount of their solid recent performance. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 58% loss during that time.

Although its price has dipped substantially, there still wouldn't be many who think Ling Yui Holdings' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.2x is worth a mention when the median P/S in Hong Kong's Construction industry is similar at about 0.3x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

See our latest analysis for Ling Yui Holdings

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:784 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 3rd 2024

How Ling Yui Holdings Has Been Performing

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Ling Yui Holdings over the last year, which is not ideal at all. Perhaps investors believe the recent revenue performance is enough to keep in line with the industry, which is keeping the P/S from dropping off. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Ling Yui Holdings' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Ling Yui Holdings' to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 8.7% decrease to the company's top line. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 31% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 9.4% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Ling Yui Holdings' P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.

The Bottom Line On Ling Yui Holdings' P/S

Ling Yui Holdings' plummeting stock price has brought its P/S back to a similar region as the rest of the industry. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

The fact that Ling Yui Holdings currently trades at a P/S on par with the rest of the industry is surprising to us since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term, all while the industry is set to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards in the context of growing industry forecasts, it'd make sense to expect a possible share price decline on the horizon, sending the moderate P/S lower. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.

Having said that, be aware Ling Yui Holdings is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those doesn't sit too well with us.

If you're unsure about the strength of Ling Yui Holdings' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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