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Cautious Investors Not Rewarding Optima Automobile Group Holdings Limited's (HKG:8418) Performance Completely

Simply Wall St·12/02/2024 22:32:36
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With a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 0.4x in the Specialty Retail industry in Hong Kong, you could be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Optima Automobile Group Holdings Limited's (HKG:8418) P/S ratio of 0.7x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

Check out our latest analysis for Optima Automobile Group Holdings

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:8418 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 2nd 2024

How Has Optima Automobile Group Holdings Performed Recently?

For instance, Optima Automobile Group Holdings' receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think the company might still do enough to be in line with the broader industry in the near future. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Optima Automobile Group Holdings, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Optima Automobile Group Holdings would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 35%. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow revenue by an impressive 144% in total over the last three years. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.

When compared to the industry's one-year growth forecast of 30%, the most recent medium-term revenue trajectory is noticeably more alluring

In light of this, it's curious that Optima Automobile Group Holdings' P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.

What Does Optima Automobile Group Holdings' P/S Mean For Investors?

We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We didn't quite envision Optima Automobile Group Holdings' P/S sitting in line with the wider industry, considering the revenue growth over the last three-year is higher than the current industry outlook. It'd be fair to assume that potential risks the company faces could be the contributing factor to the lower than expected P/S. While recent revenue trends over the past medium-term suggest that the risk of a price decline is low, investors appear to see the likelihood of revenue fluctuations in the future.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Optima Automobile Group Holdings that you should be aware of.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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