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Pulling back 12% this week, Ziyuanyuan Holdings Group's HKG:8223) five-year decline in earnings may be coming into investors focus

Simply Wall St·10/28/2024 00:50:03
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While Ziyuanyuan Holdings Group Limited (HKG:8223) shareholders are probably generally happy, the stock hasn't had particularly good run recently, with the share price falling 25% in the last quarter. But that doesn't change the fact that the returns over the last five years have been pleasing. It has returned a market beating 88% in that time.

While this past week has detracted from the company's five-year return, let's look at the recent trends of the underlying business and see if the gains have been in alignment.

Check out our latest analysis for Ziyuanyuan Holdings Group

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

Ziyuanyuan Holdings Group's earnings per share are down 6.0% per year, despite strong share price performance over five years.

Essentially, it doesn't seem likely that investors are focused on EPS. Because earnings per share don't seem to match up with the share price, we'll take a look at other metrics instead.

On the other hand, Ziyuanyuan Holdings Group's revenue is growing nicely, at a compound rate of 51% over the last five years. In that case, the company may be sacrificing current earnings per share to drive growth.

You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SEHK:8223 Earnings and Revenue Growth October 28th 2024

We consider it positive that insiders have made significant purchases in the last year. Even so, future earnings will be far more important to whether current shareholders make money. Dive deeper into the earnings by checking this interactive graph of Ziyuanyuan Holdings Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What About The Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?

Investors should note that there's a difference between Ziyuanyuan Holdings Group's total shareholder return (TSR) and its share price change, which we've covered above. The TSR attempts to capture the value of dividends (as if they were reinvested) as well as any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings offered to shareholders. Dividends have been really beneficial for Ziyuanyuan Holdings Group shareholders, and that cash payout contributed to why its TSR of 104%, over the last 5 years, is better than the share price return.

A Different Perspective

Ziyuanyuan Holdings Group provided a TSR of 11% over the last twelve months. But that was short of the market average. It's probably a good sign that the company has an even better long term track record, having provided shareholders with an annual TSR of 15% over five years. It's quite possible the business continues to execute with prowess, even as the share price gains are slowing. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Case in point: We've spotted 4 warning signs for Ziyuanyuan Holdings Group you should be aware of, and 1 of them shouldn't be ignored.

Ziyuanyuan Holdings Group is not the only stock insiders are buying. So take a peek at this free list of small cap companies at attractive valuations which insiders have been buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

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